How to Bet on Football Using 3.5 Points

The world of sports betting is a lucrative one, with many people putting their knowledge to good use and profiting from the sport they love. Whilst it is always a treat when your favourite teams win, it’s not all about monetary gain. There is also the opportunity to place a wager on the outcome of a sporting event with the hope of gaining some insight or learning something new.

On Sunday 7th October, the 2019 Indian Premier League was decided by matches that went down to the wire. With just three matches to go, the tournament was still competitive and could have gone either way. In the end, it was Kings XI Punjab who pulled off an unlikely win over the heavily favoured Delhi Daredevils to claim the title. But it wasn’t just about beating the opposition, as both these teams were battling for a place in the semi-finals. It was a case of winning the match, but also proving a point. These two sides had met earlier in the tournament in a low-scoring affair, and both coaches entered the match with a point to prove. The coach of Delhi Daredevils, Joe Dawes, said prior to the final:

“In my opinion, we were the better team in the first two games, but this is a competition and anything can happen. We are going to give it our best shot and I am sure we will do well.”

“I am really happy for my captain and I, as we have worked hard to get this far and achieved what we set out to do. This is an important game for both of us, as it will decide which team goes forward to face Kerala in the semi-finals. We can take confidence from the fact that we never gave up hope even when it seemed like there was no chance of us coming back. I believe this is the sign of a good team.”

The Key Takeaway

What this win taught us is that sometimes, all it takes is one or two crucial decisions to change the course of a game. In the last over before the game, Kings XI made a hash of a run-up and threw away the game’s first scoring chance. Following this, they were penalised and given out for a no-ball. Delhi Daredevils took the opportunity to tie the game and won it through a combination of poor bowling decisions and some brilliant batting (specifically from their skipper, Shikhar Dhawan). In an interview right after the game, Kings XI captain Bollywood Khan said:

“It’s always nice to come back from a game with a golden goose egg, but I wouldn’t count our chases just yet. We lost a bit of our momentum after the break and didn’t convert our chances as well as we could have done. We have still not given up on winning the game and will be coming back to attack.”

“It’s important not to get too high after a win and important not to get too low after a loss. I don’t think we are far away now, and a win against Kerala in the next game would guarantee us of reaching the final. We are still in the competition and anything can happen. I have never been one to believe in luck, so you never know and that is what makes the game so intriguing. We will come back fighting in the next game, and we have not given up hope just yet.”

Why 3.5?

The key to winning big on football is to bet on the right side of the odds. You don’t want to put your money on a side that is significantly worse than the one you are backing, as you will lose out on the majority of the time. However, if you place your bet on a side that is slightly better, you will more than likely win, as long as the game is relatively tight. This is why we suggested backing the under 2.5 goals side in a game with goals over 2.5.

In the case of the Indian Premier League final, the goals were level at 2.5 throughout. But just as we predicted, the game finished 3.5 goals in favour of Kings XI. They started off slowly and despite their captain’s comments, did not look like they had enough fire in their bellies to go on an extended attack. There was a lot of pressure on them to perform, as they had nothing to lose and were playing for pride. And whilst they may not have had the most glorious of runs in the tournament, they did enough to make their coach and captain proud, and ensure they continue their quest for glory.

What about the rest of the tournament?

The rest of the tournament delivered when it came to betting, with some profitable campaigns and a little bit of a struggle. But in general, you could make a lot of money from gambling on the Indian Premier League. There were some extremely high scoring games, and whilst there was a clear favourite, you could make a lot of money off all the games. This is one reason why the Indian Premier League remains such a profitable competition to bet on.