New England Patriots fans, you came up short this year. In fact, you lost a lot of money betting on the team. In a nutshell, here’s how much you would have won if you did as I told you…
How To Calculate The Perfect Score
The Patriots entered the season as the 13–3 favorite to win the Super Bowl. However, even Vegas wasn’t ready for the team’s explosive offense. On January 13, the Patriots held a 54-point lead over the Los Angeles Rams in the fourth quarter of the Super Bowl. Two Rams touchdowns and an overtime victory by the Rams proved to be the exact score that Vegas had favored in the game’s final moments. In fact, the over/under line for the Super Bowl shifted from 39.5 points to 40.5 points.
If you scored 14 or more points in the first half, you won 100 percent of your bet. However, the Patriots failed to reach 14 points in any half this year. As a result, you lost almost all of your money because they did not cover the spread.
The Ups And Downs Of This Year’s Patriots
The Patriots started the season 13–3 and were considered by many to be the favorites to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. They then lost their last three games of the regular season. As a result, the Patriots missed the playoffs entirely. Let’s take a quick trip down memory lane to see how they started the season and then lost their last three games.
On September 10, 2018, the Pats opened their season at Yankee Stadium against the Cleveland Browns, winners of the previous year’s Super Bowl. Although the game ended in a tie, the Patriots prevailed in the ensuing overtime field goal. This was the last time the Pats scored a touchdown in the first half of any game this season, as they went on to lose the game 13–10.
Nine days later, the Patriots traveled to Foxborough for an important game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Despite holding a 16–3 lead in the third quarter, the Patriots lost that game 27–23. Three weeks later, the Patriots traveled to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles. Although they trailed 24–10 in the fourth quarter, the Patriots scored an overtime touchdown to win that game 29–28. They closed out the 2017 season with a 23–20 win over the Tennessee Titans in Week 17. This year was a rare bright spot for the Patriots, as they went 4–7 against top-five opponents and 4–1 against teams in the six to 10 range.
The Implications For 2018
It’s never easy to determine how much you would have won or lost on any given day when betting on sports. However, given the way things turned out for the Patriots this year, it’s clear that 2018 will be a trying season for New Hampshire residents who follow the team. The good news is that the team has a lot of promising young players who could emerge as stars.
One area that the Patriots struggled with this year was getting turnovers and throwing interceptions. They had 72 turnovers this year, which is the most in the league. While these stats alone don’t tell the whole story, consider that 11 of those were due to touchdowns by the opposing team, which further illustrates the futility of trying to contain the Patriots’ offense.
Make Sure You’re Using A Diversified Betting Strategy
Although it’s never easy to determine how much you would win or lose as an individual sports bettor, it’s even more difficult when betting on a team. In most situations, the line moves in the favor of the home team. This trend carries over into situations where the teams are of equal strength. For example, if you bet on the Patriots with the over/under line at three points, you’re virtually assured of winning your bet if the Patriots score more than three points. Similarly, if you bet on the underdogs, you’re virtually assured of winning your bet if the favorites win by more than two touchdowns. Lastly, if you bet on the exact over/under match, you’re virtually assured of winning your bet if the game is a blowout.
On the surface, these types of odds look like a great opportunity to make some money. However, if you’re exclusively relying on these types of bets to make you money, you’re eventually going to lose. The safer option is to use a diversified betting strategy, which can be something as simple as rotating between the different types of bets or placing multiple bets on each game. Having a few low-risk, high-reward bets is a much more effective strategy than relying on one or two high-risk, low-reward bets. This is especially the case if your goal is to avoid losing money.
Check Out These Articles Next
Whether you’re a Patriots fan or not, these articles are still worth checking out. Below, you’ll find some other related articles that you might find interesting. For instance, how about the 2018 NFL Draft? Or what are the odds that Tom Brady will end his golden career with an eighth Super Bowl victory?
To find the answer to those questions and more, be sure to click on the links below.
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If you’ve been searching for related content, check out the Sports Betting 101 page, the College Football page, or the MLB page. These pages contain valuable information about sports betting which you might find interesting.
Thanks for reading! I hope this article has helped answer some of your questions about how much you would have won betting on the New England Patriots this year. If you have any additional questions or comments, please feel free to hit me up on Twitter @NickAPetrella or via e-mail at nickpetrella@gmail.com. Good luck this season and please don’t bet against the Patriots!