One of the most popular prop bets in all of sports betting is the +14.5 over/under bet. The “plus” in the wagering language simply stands for “plus” or “even money.” However, what does that mean in practice?
One of the most intriguing things about the +14.5 over/under bet is that you are actually betting on whether the total number of points scored in a given football game will be more or less than 14.5. To put it another way, you are betting on whether the final score of the game will be more or less than 17. This type of game has a fairly high level of complexity. For that reason, and because there is a lot of money at stake, only a handful of bettors worldwide consider themselves capable of winning consistently at this game. If you are curious about how much money can be won or lost at this game, keep reading our guide.
How Does The Over/Under +14.5 Football Betting Work?
To better understand how the over/under +14.5 football betting works, let’s take a look at an example. For the sake of simplicity, let’s say you are trying to predict the outcome of the following game: the Denver Broncos against the Los Angeles Chargers. In order to do this, you would first need to assess the talent of each team. You would then have to look at the total number of points scored in past games between these two teams. You would also have to consider the fact that Denver is a very defensive-minded team and that they are playing at home. With all of this information, you can make a fairly accurate prediction as to the outcome of this game.
Point Differential
When it comes to betting on sports, the number of points scored or conceded in each game is one of the most important stats to consider. After all, the greater the point differential (the difference between the number of points scored and conceded), the greater the likelihood that a given team will win. As an example, let’s take a look at the 2017 NFL season. During that year, there were a total of 17 games with a point differential of 10 or more. The combined point total for these 17 games was 498, which is 49.8 points more than the average NFL game. This means that on average, each team scored more than 50 points in a game that year. It was a very high-scoring season, which is precisely why you would want to use this game as a benchmark for comparison.
Over/Under
The over/under sports betting is another tool that gamblers use to analyze a game. This tool works on the same basic principle as the +14.5 over/under football bet: you are predicting whether the final score of a particular game will be higher or lower than a certain number (in this case, 14.5). This type of wager is fairly easy to understand and apply. For example, if you are playing the Broncos versus the Chargers game mentioned earlier, you would simply need to predict whether the final score will be 17 (the total number of points) or less than 17 (because you are betting on the under).
Complexity
As mentioned, only a small number of people consider themselves good at predicting the outcome of a high-complexity game like +14.5 over/under football betting. This is mainly because these types of games are very random, and no one factor necessarily dictates the outcome. However, this does not mean that such games are without merit; there is a lot of strategy that goes into consistently placing profitable wagers on these types of games. For this reason, if you are looking for a challenging game, +14.5 over/under football betting is the perfect example. This game has lots of moving parts, which makes it difficult to predict with any degree of accuracy. For that reason, highly-skilled and experienced bettors have the best chance of coming out on top. If this type of game is new to you, take it easy – you will learn as you go. Do not expect to beat the odds with your first try.
Probability
Last but not least, we have the probability of an event occurring. This is another important factor to consider when assessing the merits of a given game. In the case of the point differential mentioned earlier, there were 17 games in the 2017 NFL season with a probability of 0.5 (50%+) of ending in a certain way. For example, the 2017 AFC Championship game between the New England Patriots and the Los Angeles Rams had a 0.5 chance of the Rams winning. Even though this game did not in fact end in a 7-point spread, the fact that there was a 0.5 chance that it could have is what makes this game interesting from a probabilistic standpoint. This factor alone would make it worth a look. However, as mentioned, only a small number of people consider themselves good at predicting the outcome of high-complexity games. For this reason, and because this game has a pretty high level of complexity, average or even professional gamblers generally avoid it. If you are looking for a game with a higher probability of ending in a certain way, consider a game with a lower point differential. Alternatively, if you want a game with a lower probability of ending in a given way, look at a game with a higher point differential. These are the main things to keep in mind when thinking about +14.5 over/under football betting.
As you can see, this game is quite the gamble. On the one hand, you have high complexity and a higher degree of randomness. On the other hand, you have the possibility of profiting from the mistakes of others. If this is the type of game that interests you, do not hesitate to give it a try. Just remember: the math behind this game is extremely complex, so practice makes perfect!
The Bottom Line
If you are looking for a challenging game, or just want to see how you measure up against the odds, you should definitely give +14.5 over/under football betting a try. Just make sure that you are aware of the fact that it is considered a high-risk, high-reward game. This means that, on the one hand, you will be rewarded for your skills if you are able to predict the outcome of such a game. On the other hand, you will be risking a lot, because there is a high degree of randomness involved in such games. Only a small number of people consider themselves good at predicting the outcome of high-complexity games, so unless you are one of them, do not expect to come out on top with your first try. If the above article has provoked thoughts, ideas, and/or questions about whether or not you should try +14.5 over/under football betting, we have provided the information above to help you make the right decision for you.