The line between sports betting and gambling is blurring. More and more sportsbooks are allowing people to place bets on football, and some even offer four-star odds on NBA games. The trend is likely due to the fact that people want to place bigger bets on bigger games. Unfortunately, there is no rule book that sets odds limits like there is for other sports. So, if you go over your limit or bet on a game you shouldn’t have, it’s up to you to find out how to pay it back. Here’s a look at what the plus-minus means when you’re betting on a football game and how to determine whether or not it’s a good idea.
How Does the Plus-Minus Work?
The plus-minus statistic is often misinformed as to what it actually measures. Those who bet on football regularly may think that it indicates the performance of a team in a particular game, but in reality it’s mostly about how a team is performing on the whole. When a team is listed as having a plus-minus rating of +3, for example, it usually means that they won three out of four games this season. The same concept goes for a team listed as having a minus-3 plus-minus rating, which indicates that they lost three out of four games.
Those who don’t follow football closely may not see the point in using the plus-minus statistic, but for experts it’s a bit like gasoline stations that sell premium and regular gas, offering the convenience of both measurements in the one place. The plus-minus statistic measures a team’s overall performance this season, combining its win-loss record with its points scored and allowed in to create an overall performance score that can be easily referenced. Those who bet on football games often use it as an additional tool to help determine the winner of a game. In a perfect world with no mistakes on either side, a team’s plus-minus rating would add up to zero. However, since there are always errors and imprecisions in sports, the overall score usually has a positive or negative value.
Is It Confusing To Place Bets On Football Games Using The Plus-Minus?
The plus-minus is one of the more complicated stats to interpret, especially when used with the other statistics that are usually associated with football. Compounding the issue is the fact that there isn’t always a clear-cut statistical difference between a good and bad plus-minus team. After all, since the overall score can be both positive and negative, it’s difficult to judge which teams are performing above and beyond expectations. As you may have guessed, those who bet on football games try to look for the best value when placing their wagers. The good news is that there are indicators that can help you determine whether or not it’s a viable option for you.
The Win-Loss Record
When it comes to placing bets on football games, nothing is more important than the win-loss record of the team you’re backing. To start, you should look for teams with an above-average win-loss record, especially those with a good winning streak. If you’re not familiar with team stats or expected scores, use services like oddsmonsters.com that can give you detailed information about recent games.
In the world of sports odds, teams with a decent win-loss record usually carry an above-average plus-minus rating, making them a safe option for those who want to place a wager on the game. As a general rule, you should avoid betting on teams with a losing record, as they will most likely hurt your wallet. While it’s always tempting to bet on the underdogs, those teams are usually the ones you want to avoid, as they will most likely lose.
The Expected Points Scored
Another important statistic to consider is the expected points scored by the team you’re backing. The expected points scored by a team is a combination of the points scored and allowed in each game this season, weighted by how many games the team played. For example, if a team scored 43 points and allowed 27 points in one game, while on the whole it averaged 29 points per game and 27 points allowed per game, its expected points for the season would be 129.
To find out the expected points for a team, simply multiply the number of points scored by the number of games played and add the product to the number of points allowed, then divide the result by the number of games played. For example, if a team scored 15 points in one game but on the whole it averaged 30 points per game, its expected points for the season would be 45 (15 x 1 + 30 x 2/2 = 45).
As you may have guessed, a team with a high expected points score usually has an above-average plus-minus rating, making it a good choice for those who want to place a wager on football games. Since the number of points a team typically scores depends on how well it is playing at the time you’re making the wager, it can be tricky to know what to expect. However, if you follow the expected points trends closely, you will be able to determine whether or not it’s a good idea to place a bet on that particular team.
The Total Yards Of Offense And Defense
When it comes to most sports, the total yards stats for an offense and defense provide a good indicator of how well a team is playing overall. In the same way that combining the points with the win-loss record provides an overall picture of a team’s performance, combining total yards with those two factors gives you a good idea of how well a team is playing overall.
The total yards for an offense include the number of rushing yards, passing yards, and receiving yards. From this number, you can subtract the yards lost due to penalty and turnover to provide an idea of how effective that team’s offense is. The total yards for a defense include the number of yards allowed and the number of points scored (often by the opposing team). From this number, you can subtract the number of points lost due to penalty or turnover to provide an idea of how effective that defense is.
When watching a game, the total yards stats will often pop up on the screen during breaks in the action. After the game, you will typically find yourself looking for two things: 1) how many yards the offense had compared to the number of yards it should have and 2) how many yards the defense allowed compared to the number of yards it should have given up.
More Than Meets The Eye
As you may have guessed, there is more than one way to use the plus-minus statistic to provide you with valuable information about a team. The good news is that you don’t have to look far to find other useful stats and indicators that can help you make a better decision about whether or not it’s a good idea to bet on football games.
One of the more popular stats used by those who bet on football is the fantasy points league statistic. Those who participate in fantasy leagues track the stats of multiple players and use them to determine the victorious team at the end of the season. This stat is usually kept secret from the general public, but many sportsbooks do provide the fantasy points statistic for those who want to take a peek behind the scenes.
Another useful statistic is the point differential. The point differential combines the total points scored by both teams into one number (the points scored by one team minus the points allowed by the other team). In most cases, betting on a team with a large point differential is a good idea since it usually means a close game. However, there are downsides. First, you may want to avoid betting on a team that is losing since you will most likely lose money. Second, betting on a team with a large point differential can be a double-edged sword, as the closer the game gets, the more likely it is that one or both teams will score multiple touchdowns, making it harder to hit on the payout.
The Trends Behind The Stats
As a general rule, you should avoid betting on teams that are either: a) losing b) close to, or tied with, another team in the same division when they play each other. As you may have guessed, those who bet on football games try to find the teams that are outperforming their respective divison or are close to doing so. In other words, they look for value. Since there are so many outliers and statistical oddities that can affect the outcome of a game, it can be very difficult to accurately predict the outcome of any given matchup. This makes it even more appealing to bet on games that you know nothing about.