In sports betting, there is a widely used concept known as ‘risk and win’. The idea behind it is that if you think a certain team or player is going to win, but you have a feeling that the lines are going to come in, you might as well make the wager and wait for the numbers to come in. The concept is pretty much the same in NFL betting, but with some key differences.
What Is The Difference Between The Lines and The Spread?
One of the most essential differences between the lines and the spread is the way they are calculated. When you bet on the lines, the line-maker will give you the official score at the time the bet is placed. However, with the spread, the lines are set before the game even begins, so the score is usually not available when the bet is placed. This makes it more difficult to know how the game is going to end because there is always the chance that the spread could be narrowed or widened by enough to affect the final score.
This is one of the reasons why the risk and win in NFL betting is usually confined to underdogs. If an underdog is put at a sizable advantage, especially one that is growing by the game, it could be difficult to bet against them. In this case, the spread can be more effective in determining the outcome of the game than the lines.
What Is The Over/Under Threshold?
In risk and win, when you bet on the lines, there is a concept known as the over/under threshold. It is different from the traditional ‘over/under’ in that the over/under threshold is a measure of how much the line is going to move. For instance, if the line is set at 3 points, meaning it will move in either direction by at most 3 points, then an over/under threshold of 10 points would mean that the total combined score could reach anywhere from 17 to 20 points. In this situation, a 17 point total would be considered an ‘over’ and a 20 point total would be considered an ‘under’.
This concept can be challenging to bet on because you need to keep an eye on two or more numbers, not just one. In most cases, it is best to go with the underdog because, by definition, underdogs have an advantage and it is usually easier to go with a team you know is going to win because if they do not, you lose your wager. The lines are usually more effective when there is an underdog because they have less room to move than the favorites, so if they win, it is usually not by as much as you would expect and vice versa.
How Is The Time Factor In NFL Betting?
The time factor is another issue that comes up a lot in NFL betting and it is one of the reasons why the risk and win concept is not used that often. In most cases, it is better to lay off on games with a time factor because it is difficult to estimate how much time will pass before the game ends. If you are not sure how much time will pass, it can be hard to tell how the game is going to end and whether it is going to be a winner take all situation or if there will be some kind of overtime or time-kill. In these cases, it is usually a good idea to bet on the underdog because they are more likely to end the game quickly than the favorite and you will not lose your wager even if it goes into overtime or a double-overtime.
Despite the many differences between NFL betting and traditional sports betting, the risk and win concept can work just as well in the NFL. In fact, it can be applied with even more effectiveness because of all the variables that can change the outcome of a game. If you understand these variables and keep an eye out for them, you stand a better chance of being able to capitalize on the small amount of risk involved when betting on the NFL.