Over Under betting on sports, particularly the NFL, has become extremely popular in recent years, and for good reason. The concept is fairly simple; place a wager on the total number of punts (kickoffs are included) by both teams combined.
The reasoning behind this wagering style is that since over 80% of NFL games are decided by one or fewer touchdowns, betting on the total number of touchdowns won accurately predicts the final winning score. Moreover, since less than 10% of games go over the total number of points, betting on the under also offers some degree of security.
Key Inabilities That Come With This Wager
While it’s fairly easy to place a successful wager on the NFL in general, there are a few key things you need to keep in mind before doing so.
The first is that since underdogs generally beat the favorites, you’re more likely to see games with high scores than low scores. However, you should also realize that sometimes the favorite will cover the spread and give the underdog their just rewards. As a result, you should avoid betting on teams with inferior defenses since your chances of winning will be significantly reduced.
Another thing to keep in mind is that since your odds of winning decrease as the games go over, you should try to limit your wagers to early games, particularly in Week 1. As you may expect, the first game of the season is generally a lot more exciting than the average NFL game, which often consists of multiple stalled breaks before either team manages to pull off a single offensive play. As a result, the early games can be highly volatile, making it difficult to form any sort of coherent wagering strategy. However, that shouldn’t dissuade you from placing a wager at all. With the proper lineup selection and calculation of the total number of points, you can still achieve excellent results from this wagering style.
How To Place A Successful Over Under Wager On The NFL
As you may surmise from the section above, the primary task in making an over under wager on the NFL is to figure out the total number of combined punts and touchdowns for each team. Since there are 16 teams in the NFL, this can get rather tedious. Fortunately, there are several tools online that can help you determine the total numbers of combined punts and touchdowns for each team before you begin to bet. Two of the most popular tools are listed below:
SBATN
The first tool is SBATN, which stands for Southern Belittles Academy football (TOTALLY NOT). This is one of the most popular NFL stats sites, and it’s easy to see why. Whether you’re looking for a place to place a wager or you just want to follow the latest news and injury reports, the SBATN platform does an excellent job of covering all the important stats. Moreover, you can often find odds from several bookmakers all on one page, making it convenient for those who already have bets lined up.
VIP.COM
Another resource you may use to search for the total number of punt and touchdown combinations is the website VIP.COM. As the name implies, VIP.COM is a VIP (Very Important Person) access-only website, and it’s a repository of valuable information. With a ton of data available on the site, you’ll find everything from the latest news to in-depth analysis of the NFL season up until that point. Since VIP.COM is built on the same platform as the SBATN website, you can sort of see how this tool could be used in tandem to simplify the process of placing an over under wager on the NFL.
Total Points Won By Over Under Wagers In 2018
Now that you have all the tools you need to successfully place an over under wager on the NFL, it’s time to see which teams are the most accurate in predicting the total number of points. Keep in mind that any winnings from this wagering style will be reduced by 22.2%, since you’re using the odds to determine the payout. As a result, it’s important to set the desired wager amount (and then only adjust it if you achieve a winning result). For the sake of this article, we will use the SBATN website to track all of our wagers this year, since they offer the best overall interface for keeping track of multiple wagers and computing the results.
The first step in placing an over under wager on the NFL is to navigate to the games tab on the SBATN website. Here you’ll see all the games that have been completed as well as all the ongoing games. In the screenshot below, you can see that we are currently 1/2 unit short of our initial goal, but since this is a parlay, we can continue to add on units and see where it gets us.
Total Points In Pre-Game Betting
Another important thing to consider before placing a wager on the NFL is the total points in the betting market prior to the game. Since we’re going for the under on the total number of points in the game, you want to make sure that the point spread is in your favor. This can be difficult to ascertain, especially at first glance, and it’s important to do some research prior to placing a wager. Sometimes, especially early in the season, the favorites are very, very popular, while the underdogs are almost never favored. This can make it difficult to find an outright winner in a game where the total points are close to even or one team is massively favored.
The Importance Of Backtesting
One of the most crucial steps in placing a successful over under wager on the NFL is backtesting. Backtesting is the process of trial and error, where you test different lineups and strategies to see which one is most profitable. For example, if you have a specific game or matchup in mind, you can use an algorithm to generate lineups based on the current trends. This is also closely related to the concept of handicapping; in this case, you’re trying to figure out which teams are most likely to score the most points based on current trends and you adjust your lineup accordingly. In some instances, a team that wasn’t even in the original lineup will end up being the biggest winner, due to the algorithm’s reliance on the spread.
Why Are So Many People Interested In Over Under Betting On The NFL?
Since the turn of the century, there has been a discernible increase in the number of people interested in wagering on sports, particularly NFL games. This has been attributed to several factors, including the rise of the casual sports fan and the evolution of technology. The increase in people interested in wagering has been paralleled by an increase in the number of people using online betting resources to place their wagers. Over Under betting on the NFL has emerged as one of the most popular wagering styles, due primarily to the simplicity of the game and the relative security of the wager.
In reality, it’s not really that simple. While it’s fairly easy to place a win with this wagering style, it’s not always that straightforward. As you may surmise from the above, there are several key things you need to keep in mind before doing so. Moreover, there is a good degree of subjectivity involved in choosing the winners and figuring out the payouts since, ultimately, you’re just a bystander in a lot of these instances. For those who are interested in trying their hand at Over Under betting on the NFL, these factors combine to make it a fairly volatile and perhaps not for the faint of heart. Still, as long as you’re aware of these risks, you can rest assured in knowing that the fun is indeed in the journey, not the destination. This is particularly relevant if your interest is purely recreational. Still, if you’re looking for a way to make money, be prepared to commit the time necessary to learn the ropes. With a little patience and planning, you can achieve excellent results from this wagering style, and with that, you can rest assured in knowing you’ve taken a step toward achieving financial independence.