I’m often asked about the best soccer betting systems. Truth is, there is no best system. There is only effective systems for soccer bettors. Below, you’ll find a complete guide to creating an effective soccer betting system that suits your needs. It is always best to base your system on proven stats and data. Most notably, check out which teams are playing at home more often then away and consider laying or taking shots on that trend.
Understand The Basics Of Soccer
To make the most of your FIFA or NCAA soccer data, you’ll need to understand a few essential things about the game itself. The first and most basic element is that you must understand that there are 21 players on the pitch at all times. It is not each individual player’s responsibility to score but rather a team effort. The second thing you need to understand is how stats and data are handled within FIFA or NCAA soccer. Third, you need to understand when to go all-in and when to hold back. Finally, you need to keep in mind that the best strategy often relies on exploiting flaws in the game’s rulebook. In other words, don’t be afraid to bend or break some of the rules if you deem it necessary for your winning approach.
FIFA Or NCAA?
One of the first things you’ll want to do is determine which data to use. If you’re a betting enthusiast, you’ll want to use FIFA’s data. Not only is it the most popular and reputable soccer data set available, but it’s also completely free to download and use. The next best thing is the NCAA soccer data which is also completely free to download and use. You’ll just need to pay a small subscription fee to access their database. If you do decide to use this database, you’ll need to keep in mind that a large portion of the games will be inaccessible since they’re from before 2006.
FIFA Goals Versus Expected Goals
In order to create the simplest and most effective betting strategy possible, you will want to avoid using any kind of data that involves goals scored. This is because there is usually a lot of variability when it comes to goals scored. One team may dominate the other by scoring many goals while the underdogs manage to sneak in a few scores here and there. This is why instead of using goals scored as a basis for analysis, you should opt for using goals versus expected goals. In order to perform this analysis, you’ll need to download the FIFA app or the NCAA app from the App Store or Google Play. Once you have installed the app, you’ll see a menu where you can toggle between goals and expected goals. Make sure you are choosing goals versus expected goals and not goals scored versus goals allowed which is the default setting.
Home Vs. Away
Another basic principle in forming a sound betting strategy is knowing when to bet on home games and when to bet on away games. Home games generally offer more value to a bettor since there is more likelihood that the outcomes will remain the same. On the other hand, away games are more difficult to predict. Sure, there is always a chance that a team may collapse in defeat and lose all the matches they play abroad. However, there is also the possibility that the teams may play to a draw or even have some upsets on the cards. In these situations, away games often turn out much more in favor of the underdog.
More Than One Goal
While we’re on the topic of FIFA vs. NCAA, let’s take a quick moment to discuss multi-goal games. These are games where a team scores multiple goals (four or more) throughout the entire match. In theory, this may create the most value for a soccer bet since there is more opportunity to score. More than one goal usually means that at least one team is dominating the other. However, this does not always have to be the case. In some instances, a team may hold a narrow lead for the majority of the match only to have the other team score a few unanswered goals in the final quarter or half. Remember, stats and data are only as good as you give them credit for being and in many instances, multi-goal games are not accounted for within the formulas used by these platforms. This is why these types of games are often omitted from statistical analysis.
Ultimately, the most effective soccer betting strategy is one that is personalized to suit the bettor’s needs and circumstances. For example, if you are a casual soccer bettor who plays on FIFA or NCAA, you may want to avoid all-in gambling since this strategy is generally considered to be a high-risk/high-reward venture. On the other hand, if you are looking to create a systematic approach to betting on soccer, you should consider using the FIFA or NCAA data since these sets of numbers provide the simplest and most straightforward analysis. Finally, if you are looking to create the most complex and effective soccer betting analysis possible, you should utilize a tool like Pro Stats which offers up all kinds of analysis from goal differential to individual player stats. With Pro Stats, you may also create custom watch lists for particular teams or players to track their stats while avoiding focusing on individual goals scored.