The USA Presidential Election is coming up on November 8th, and all eyes are on the big battleground states. The polls are closing in, and results should start coming in around 11 pm EST tonight. Who’s going to win the election? It’s anyone’s guess, but there are a few signs that could point to the outcome.
Will It Be A Landslide Victory For Hillary Clinton?
It’s hard to say at this point. Clinton has a history of electoral victories, and this year seems to be no different. She seems to be leading in all the polls (including those that have a margin of error), and there is no real statistical evidence to suggest that Trump will triumph.
Clinton has been campaigning for a while now in key swing states, and has a lot of experience in winning elections. The fundraising advantage and the big name donors certainly don’t hurt either. In 2016 alone, the Clintons raised a record-breaking $2.9 billion, according to the New York Times. There are obviously a lot of factors at play, but Trump’s inability to close the fundraising gap and his lack of name recognition might just be the difference in this election.
Who’s Going to Pull It Off?
In the 2016 election, there were only two candidates that received less than half of all the nationwide votes. Those candidates were Gary Johnson (who received 8.9%), and John Kasich (who received 8.6%). Keep in mind, though, that these numbers only represent 2% of the total voters. That means that 98% of Americans either didn’t vote for these candidates or voted for someone else.
As a general rule, underdogs tend to have better performances in elections. Johnson could really rack up some impressive numbers based on the support he gets from Independents and Democrats. However, it’s hard to predict since there are no guarantees in life, especially political ones.
Will The Midterms Be Big For The Democrats?
Yes, the Democrats tend to do well in midterm elections. Since 1968, the average midterm Democrat has won by 4.2% (give or take a few percentage points). So, assuming that history repeats itself, the midterms could be great for the Democrats. They could potentially pick up a lot of seats in Congress. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives will be up for grabs, as well as 33 of the 55 seats in the Senate. If the Democrats win the House, it will be because of a wave election, similar to what happened in 2010.
It’s not very often that we get to choose the leaders of our country, but these days it seems like it’s more and more possible. In the last few months, we’ve seen a lot of ups and downs in the economy, and a lot of volatility in the stock market. It’s not very clear what the American public wants, but based on the trends so far, it seems like the people are ready for a change. That change could come in the form of a Democratic president or a Republican president. It’s anyone’s guess which one will win, but if history has taught us anything, it’s that you should never, ever rule out the underdog.