For those seeking to speculate on the Chinese stock market, where do you put your money? It’s a question that has recently taken the headlines, with many praising the Asian nation as a potential investment opportunity, while others remain skeptical. Let’s examine the state of play of the Chinese stock market and who is placing what kind of bets on the future direction of the underlying equities.
The Chinese Economy
Even before the coronavirus pandemic, China was an extremely attractive opportunity for those seeking to invest in emerging markets. Not only is the economy the second-largest in the world, but it’s also one of the most anticipated ones. While there have been concerns regarding the sustainability of the country’s growth, especially in light of the recent slowing of the economy, experts are still predicting something of a renaissance.
Many multinational corporations have chosen to re-locate manufacturing plants to China due to lower costs and an abundance of skilled labor. That has led to an expansion in the country’s financial and corporate sectors, providing a wealth of opportunity for those seeking to enter the Chinese market.
The Potential For Huge Profits
With many experts forecasting a significant rise in the value of the Chinese stock market in the coming months, those who buy and sell equities there now have the chance to make massive profits. The country’s exchanges have seen a surge in activity, with the Shanghai Composite Index climbing to a record high and the Shenzhen Composite Index hitting a more than five-year high. This follows a run of strong performance from China’s stock market, with the Shanghai composite rising by 30% in 2019 and the Shenzhen Composite climbing by 28% year to date.
The gains are potentially huge, with some experts projecting that the Chinese market could rise by as much as 150% in the next few months. There are, however, warning signs that even the most optimistic participants might not want to bet against. China’s central bank has warned that the rapid rise in the country’s stock market might be causing a wealth of new problems. The Chinese economy has become so reliant on investment that even a slight pullback in the markets might send shockwaves through the country’s financial system.
The decision to buy or sell Chinese stocks is highly dependent on which sector of the market an investor prefers to take a profit or a loss. There are a number of stock market indices available, with the most recognizable being the Shanghai and the Shenzhen Compuests, with others including the Hang Seng in Hong Kong and the Nikkei in Tokyo.
Those who participate in the Chinese stock market should carefully consider whether or not to take a long-term view. Even if you are planning on staying in the market for only a short while, it’s vital to understand how valuations stand in relation to historical data and what other investment opportunities might exist outside of the country’s markets.
Which Sector To Invest In?
Anyone considering an investment in the Chinese economy might first want to examine the sector that they prefer to use as a base for further exploration. That base will determine the direction of the rest of their investment, as everything in China is related to some extent. For example, those who have decided to take a profit-taking position in energy stocksmight be willing to sell some of their holdings should the oil price decline, while holders of financials might see their fortunes rise. The choice of sector will be highly dependent on an individual’s investment style and the amount of time that one is willing to spend examining the Chinese economy and its stock market in depth.
Which Stocks To Trade?
Those who decide to participate in the Chinese stock market are likely to be looking for a steady stream of income, with perhaps some capital gain as an additional benefit. In that case, the S&P 500 might be the perfect vehicle, as it offers both profit taking opportunities and the chance to invest for long-term profit. The China Coefficient, which tracks the performance of the Chinese stock market relatively to the S&P 500, might also be a suitable choice, as it provides a single exposure that could be used to track performance.
Will The Chinese Market Continue To Rise?
Even before the pandemic hit, a lot of attention was paid to China as an investment opportunity. While the country might not be able to offer complete safety, especially not in the short term, that safety might not be necessary if profit is a primary goal. Those who decide to enter the Chinese economy might do well to keep at least a few positions in the stock market throughout the year. Not only do you have the opportunity to benefit from an upturn in the country’s economy, but you can also take a short-term loss, protecting some of your capital while still enjoying the benefits of an investment in China. The performance of the Chinese market will be decided not only by the pandemic, but by a number of external factors as well, with or without the pandemic, and it might not always be straightforward to predict which will have the greater impact.
If you’re looking for an investment opportunity that might provide some good returns in the coming months and enjoy taking a short-term loss from time to time, then China might be the place to be. Those who decide to participate in the Chinese stock market might also find it useful to examine other markets and how their relative values stand in comparison to the Chinese economy, as everything in China is linked in some way.